In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)Mexican President Simbaum said that the US Deputy Secretary of State candidate "did a good job" during his tenure as the US ambassador to Mexico.According to the Interfax news agency, Ukraine reported that Ukrainian President Zelensky said that there are nearly 800,000 Russian troops in Ukraine.
Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose 7%, the biggest increase since September, while Nasdaq China Jinlong Index rose 7%, the biggest increase since September. Popular Chinese stocks rose collectively, with iQiyi, Xpeng Motors, Weilai and JD.COM rising by over 10%, LI and Netease by over 9%, Pinduoduo by over 8%, Alibaba by over 7% and Baidu by over 6%.Spot gold broke through the $2,670.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $2,670.07/oz, up 1.41% in the day; COMEX gold futures main force recently reported $2,693.30 per ounce, up 1.27% in the day.
The Bank of England plans to further provide liquidity through key repurchase tools, and the Bank of England plans to provide more liquidity to banks at a lower price to cope with the possible cash shortage in the British financial system in the future. On December 9th, the Bank of England said that it would increase the available reserve in the auction of indexed long-term repo (ILTR) from 25 billion to at least 30 billion pounds (about 38 billion US dollars). It is planned to provide more reserves at a lower "initial pricing level" and adjust the price for obtaining more reserves. These suggestions were made in a consulting report released on Monday, just before Dave Ramsden, vice governor, made a speech on financial stability. The Bank of England said it expects these adjustments to be implemented in the second quarter of 2025.Ministry of Civil Affairs: The Chinese Stomatological Association was ordered to strictly review the membership qualifications of registered members. Recently, the reporter exposed the chaos of dental medical institutions and the management of members of the Chinese Stomatological Association. Today, the Social Organization Administration of the Ministry of Civil Affairs issued a statement. After verification, the recent media report that the Chinese Stomatological Association failed to effectively review the membership of ordinary members and specialist members is true. The Social Organization Administration of the Ministry of Civil Affairs ordered the Society to strictly review the membership qualifications of registered members, and to explain and rectify the relevant situation. In the next step, the Social Organization Administration Bureau of the Ministry of Civil Affairs will urge the Chinese Stomatological Association to consciously accept social supervision and rectify the existing problems in place. (CCTV News)Insiders: It is expected that the second car of Xiaomi, YU7, will mark Tesla Model Y,12 On December 9, the second car of Xiaomi Automobile officially landed in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. According to the information of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the second model of Xiaomi Automobile is a pure electric SUV, and the trailer label shows that this model is named "YU7". The new car is 4999mm long, 1996mm wide and 1600mm high, with a wheelbase of 3000mm and a top speed of 253 km/h. Previously, the appearance and interior spy photos of Xiaomi YU7 have been exposed. In appearance, the new car continues many family design elements of Xiaomi SU7 in design, but the semi-hidden door handle has become a hidden door handle. In addition, because the new car body looks similar to Ferrari Purosangue, it has also been dubbed "Farami" by netizens. According to the analysis of insiders, Xiaomi SU7 is against Tesla Model 3, and it is expected that Xiaomi's second car YU7 will be against Tesla Model Y.. (CBN)
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13